Asian total corners under 10 at 1.83 odds at Bet365.
The team of the site corner-stats.com continues researching the system of value betting that consists of the following items. When a bookmaker calculates its odds, it counts all matches. We take into account narrower sample of matches, basing on matches between teams and matches for 2-3 seasons with similar opponents in strength. Herewith we count only home matches for hosts of the field and away matches for guests. If last matches show the value it will be very good characteristic for a value bet.
Now we look on such a match in Norwegian Tippeligaenbetween Stabæk and Sandefjord.
So, the stats for 1.83 odds on Asian total corners under 10 in Tippeligaen (checking the strength of the value in brackets):
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4 of 4 H2H matches in 2014-2015 years (100% * 1,83 = 1,83 >= 1,00);
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6 of 9 home matches of Stabæk in 2017 season. Herewith 2 matches ended with total corners 10 (bet refund). ( 6/(9-2) * 1,83 = 1,56 >= 1,00). ;
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4 of 9 away matches of Sandefjord in 2017 season. Herewith 2 matches ended with total corners 10 (bet refund). (4 /(9-2) * 1,83 = 1,04 >= 1.00);
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4 of 7 matches of Stabæk with the teams similar to Sandefjord in 2015-2017 seasons. Herewith 2 matches ended with total corners 10 (bet refund). ( 4/ (7-2) * 1,83 = 1.46 >=1.00) ;
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7 of 15 matches of Sandefjord with the teams that are similar to Stabæk in 2015-2017 seasons. Herewith 3 matches finished with total corners 10 (bet refund). (7/ (15-3) * 1,83 = 1.07 >=1.00) (the sample of similar matches you can see on the screenshot below).
Of course, statistical analysis must be approved by fundamental one. And it can be said that after half of the season two teams with very low indicators of total corners per match will meet.
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Stabæk is the last in Tippeligaen with very low value – 7.88 corners per match and
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Sandefjord is the third from the bottom with 9.53 value corners per match.
Also, it needs to be underlined that the variation of average total is 0.32 for every teams of the match after 17 matches. It shows the stability of low average quantity of corners in every match in 2017 season.
The team of the site of corner-stats.com considers the bet on Asian total corners under 10.0 to be valuable at 1.83 odds at Bet365.
06/08/17. Eliteserien (Norway). Stabæk Fotball - Sandefjord. Stats. Sandefjord similar matches
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